As we said in the introduction, tracking Monopoly Big Baller results is an almost impossible task, for several reasons. Let’s start by discussing these challenges, how we can overcome them, and whether digging this deep into the stats is ever worth it.
As you’re probably aware, Big Baller is essentially a modernized take on bingo. You could also call it lottery or keno, but the gist is the same. Players buy cards with numbers on them. Numbered balls are then drawn from the drum machine, hopefully matching the numbers on your cards. If you make a 5-number line on your card, you win. Again – if you want more details, check out our review of the game.
A fixed number of balls is drawn in every round. Specifically, 20 out of 60. Some simple math can tell us your chances of hitting a single line, and we’ll cover that below. However, the problem is that Monopoly Big Baller is not about predicting single lines and simply hitting 5 numbers you need. A single number can be part of multiple winning lines on a single card. Moreover, Free Space cards severely affect the probabilities behind the game. And that’s before we start comparing these probabilities to payouts, which is instrumental for calculating RTP in casino games.
Typically, we would simply look at the history of how often a certain result occurs. That’s a simple matter for stats in Monopoly Live or even Crazy Time.
However, every player gets their own unique cards. We have no real way of knowing how often players win. We can test it, of course, but any sort of honest test would take months and produce unreliable results. All of this makes it next to impossible to have full Monopoly Big Baller result trackers. The one exception is the two bonus rounds, which have the same numbers for all players.
Monopoly Big Baller Odds
For now, let’s focus on what we do know about Monopoly Big Baller stats.
The probability of hitting a single 5-number combination while drawing 20 out of 60 balls in a 5×5 card is around 4.80%. We used good old bingo statistics to get this figure. This means that you have odds of just under 5% of hitting a single line on a single card. Specific combinations are a lot less likely, but that’s not all that relevant.
However, this is where things get tricky. Normally, hitting two lines would be exponentially more difficult because hitting an exact 10-number combination is very hard. For better or worse, that’s not really how things work, though. If you already have one line on the card, that means you already hit several numbers. Each of those numbers can also be used in additional bingo lines.
To make things even more complicated, not all positions on the card are equal. Specifically, some numbers can only be part of two lines (horizontal and vertical), while some can be part of three (diagonal.) Essentially, hitting one line already puts you on the path to additional lines, which messes with our math in many ways.
Then, we also have to consider free spaces, which significantly increase your chances of completing lines. Then there are the random free spaces which can appear in every round, and we have no information on how often this happens.
The one truly reliable figure we have is the fact Monopoly Big Baller RTP is 96.10%. In games like roulette, the RTP, payouts, and some simple math are all you need to calculate your chances of winning a bet. However, considering all of the multipliers, Chance cards, and bonus rounds in Big Baller, that’s not really an option either.
Why Any of This Matters
By now, some of you are probably thinking – if predicting Monopoly Big Baller is impossible, is there such a thing as strategy?
Yes and no. We’ll get to the strategy later. However, this discussion about stats should still paint a clear picture of the surprising complexity of a game like bingo. It should also help you follow along with the results.
For example, you’ll understand that not all numbers are equally as valuable. This comes down to their position on the card. Numbers along the diagonals are technically more valuable because they contribute towards 3 lines. This would be a more interesting fact if Evolution’s Big Baller allowed players to switch their cards. Theoretically, you could try to find cards with identical numbers along the diagonals, thereby increasing your chances of winning if one or more of these numbers are hit. Unfortunately, that’s not an option – the 4 cards you get are all you can get.
With games like these, it’s important to remember the age-old rule that applies to almost all gambling. As a player, you have no influence over the outcome of Monopoly Big Baller. In fact, stressing over the statistics of the game is the wrong approach. Instead, you should focus on things you can control. Namely, your bankroll, the type cards you choose to play, and the two bonus bets.